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Probability of fair distribution of NABU cases in the Solomiansky Court is 1 to 500000000 –

According to calculations, the probability of an accidental assignment of a group of high-profile cases of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine to the same judge is 2 to a billion suggests the investigation of Anatoliy Ostapenko “The theory of improbability” for the program “Nashy Groshy with Denys Bigus”.

It is known that permissions to procedural actions in corruption cases of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine in the Solomiansky Court are being issued by the same judge, Olexander Bobrovnyk. Cases have to be assigned to him after an accidental automatic distribution conducted between all investigative judges of the court.

Calculations of the senior scientist of the Institute of Mathematics of the National Academy of Science of Ukraine Ms. Iryna Ehorchenko show that out of more than 1 500 selected cases, the probability of accidental assignment of a group of high-profile cases should be extremely low.

Investigation shows that cases get assigned to a judge not through an automatic distribution system.

For example, on 15 January 2016 during the automatic distribution of the case of Olexander Onyshenko there were three investigative judges among which the system had to choose. However, on the day an automatic distribution was conducted, judges Olha Kurova and Andriy Makukha got sick. That is why the system assigned the case to Olexander Bobrovnyk.

It was already on 27 January that the Solomiansky Court received the case of Yuriy Ivaniushenko. It was exactly at that moment when other investigative judges were not at the workplace. Among all the judges it was again the judge Bobrovnyk who was left alone and closed the case of Ivaniushenko in two days.

On 23 February, the Court received an appeal of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine regarding the investigation of a sale of products worth more than UAH 1,5 billion by the Odessa Port Plant to a British company Newscope Estates Limited. Investigators of the Bureau asked the court to provide access to correspondence of ex-assistant to Mr Granovskiy, Ms Olha Tkachenko. But before that, this very case was investigated by another judge, Andriy Makukha. On that day he was on a study leave. The Court should have conducted a new automatic distribution of the case of Odessa Port Plant, however, during the automatic distribution they put a wrong case number in the system. The decision and automatic distribution have a number of the case on an ordianry robbery which was investigated by Bobrovnyk before. That is why the system assigned the case to the judge who was designated earlier, meaning to Bobrovnyk.

On 2 March this year, officers of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine informed Roman Nasirov of suspicion. Right before that, the ex-head of the State Fiscal Service had started feeling sick and was taken to the hospital Feofania. For the next two days, law enforcement officers could not deliver the chief of the State Fiscal Service to court because of his “state of health”. He was delivered to Solomiansky Court only on Saturday.

And the system of automatic distribution of cases among judges does not work on weekends. Therefore, a judge shall be selected manually, according to the duty schedule. Olexander Bobrovnyk was again on duty that day.

More about the judge Bobrovnyk and the theory of probability you can read here, or watch a video.